Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8127d43edf70525c2d3ee0efc1f0ecef300172f608fae811c0f506c210aec8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 25c | 19,284$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.03 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed No | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed No | 78c | 14,348$11,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 13,320$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 40c | 10,375$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.44 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…7240backed No | 50c | 7,818$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,819$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 19c | 4,216$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.67 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 56c | 3,507$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.88 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 60c | 3,398$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.11 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 26c | 2,330$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 46c | 2,224$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.48 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 25c | 1,800$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.5 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked No | 16c | 1,650$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 29c | 1,550$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,464$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.78 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked No | 15c | 1,005$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…0a32backed No | 51c | 989.69$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 42c | 969.05$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 48c | 961.52$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed No | 18c | 757.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 15c | 714.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…ea30backed No | 10c | 650$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…3c19backed Yes | 56c | 599.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 587.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed Yes | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…59e0backed Yes | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…18abbacked Yes | 14c | 395.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…429cbacked Yes | 79c | 356.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…30dcbacked No | 24c | 258.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked No | 78c | 203.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…7b65backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 28c | 151.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…b286backed No | 31c | 146.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…6f57backed Yes | 48c | 122.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…f081backed Yes | 34c | 81.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 78c | 72.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed No | 75c | 65.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…3485backed No | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…45f2backed Yes | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…4330backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…2ce0backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4009backed No | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…c33ebacked No | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…337ebacked No | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…2280backed Yes | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…0241backed Yes | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…0541backed No | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5c9fbacked Yes | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 79c | 56.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…6788backed No | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…e136backed No | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2485…0cb2backed Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…4e60backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…b530backed Yes | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 25c | 51.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d3debacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…d2b9backed Yes | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…c250backed Yes | 24c | 43.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3f…a7eebacked No | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…c771backed Yes | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…9656backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1826…d276backed No | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe882…f03abacked No | 74c | 38.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…ff70backed No | 62c | 38.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…c769backed Yes | 32c | 35.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…44e5backed No | 80c | 34.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73fa…99cabacked Yes | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…8cc6backed No | 33c | 30.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…d3eebacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…a204backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…762abacked No | 58c | 27.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3877…f67bbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…8870backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…65f5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…9e61backed Yes | 57c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 15-21?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 September 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 September 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.