Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86657fd4ebff72662a10a11e405c22a5d8af145734b1c3ab9d95c86bd61578a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Fairfield Stags, Saint Peter's Peacocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,797 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 42c | 1,986$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.7 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 1,928$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 22c | 1,474$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 42c | 1,362$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 840.48$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Fairfield Stags | 43c | 753.48$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.48 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 66c | 647.24$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 24c | 599.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 38c | 486.31$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fairfield Stags | 56c | 446.39$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 435.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags | 60c | 341.36$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fairfield Stags | 32c | 305.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 267.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 10c | 264.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 20c | 238.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairfield Stags | 59c | 208.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 43c | 198.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fairfield Stags | 62c | 188.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 22c | 154.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 56c | 132.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 57c | 104.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairfield Stags | 61c | 96.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 26c | 93.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairfield Stags | 64c | 74.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 43c | 67.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 66.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Fairfield Stags | 76c | 62.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 33c | 50.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Fairfield Stags | 53c | 50.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Fairfield Stags | 42c | 47.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 41c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Fairfield Stags | 59c | 33.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…376cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 42c | 24.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Fairfield Stags | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksthis page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 134.5Under won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-2.5)Fairfield Stags won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.