Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Drake Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8cc3b07dc26108493432bfdbba3f0299b40b7b7f11deba564e4daa1669f447d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Drake Bulldogs | 79c | 3,004$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.69 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Drake Bulldogs | 31c | 2,559$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.48 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Belmont Bruins | 8c | 2,113$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.9 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Drake Bulldogs | 66c | 2,021$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…0bc4backed Drake Bulldogs | 1c | 1,872$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 1,809$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Belmont Bruins | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Belmont Bruins | 40c | 955.5$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 837.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs | 29c | 826.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Belmont Bruins | 69c | 707.13$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.21 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Drake Bulldogs | 41c | 702.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 556$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Belmont Bruins | 36c | 402.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Belmont Bruins | 37c | 363.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Belmont Bruins | 29c | 341.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Belmont Bruins | 32c | 309.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.57 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 301.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Drake Bulldogs | 5c | 274.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Belmont Bruins | 7c | 256.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Belmont Bruins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Drake Bulldogs | 30c | 224.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Belmont Bruins | 47c | 213.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Drake Bulldogs | 31c | 211.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 25c | 202.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Drake Bulldogs | 67c | 200.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Drake Bulldogs | 15c | 191.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Drake Bulldogs | 72c | 184$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Belmont Bruins | 9c | 149.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drake Bulldogs | 75c | 139.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Belmont Bruins | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Belmont Bruins | 75c | 133.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Drake Bulldogs | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Drake Bulldogs | 32c | 116.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 11c | 114.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 110.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Belmont Bruins | 25c | 101.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Belmont Bruins | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Belmont Bruins | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Belmont Bruins | 61c | 99.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…e23bbacked Belmont Bruins | 75c | 92.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 88.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Belmont Bruins | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Belmont Bruins | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Drake Bulldogs | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Belmont Bruins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…b586backed Drake Bulldogs | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Drake Bulldogs | 29c | 42.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Belmont Bruins | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Belmont Bruins | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…fa47backed Belmont Bruins | 70c | 36.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Belmont Bruins | 68c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 77c | 21.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Drake Bulldogsthis page
- Belmont Bruins vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Belmont Bruins vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-6.5)Drake Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.