MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9325b0782fd19db6413e87961c2c412325d440c185a8f1396a8b744120c7bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof NC Dinos, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…9968backed LG Twins | 67c | 1,934$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed LG Twins | 59c | 1,317$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.25 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed NC Dinos | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed LG Twins | 57c | 887.18$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.49 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NC Dinos | 46c | 712.23$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.62 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 76c | 673.1$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 57c | 654.38$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed NC Dinos | 48c | 453$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed LG Twins | 54c | 447$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked LG Twins | 53c | 427.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked LG Twins | 57c | 262$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed NC Dinos | 6c | 249.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 59c | 235$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed NC Dinos | 5c | 233$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed LG Twins | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked LG Twins | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed NC Dinos | 28c | 125.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed NC Dinos | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked NC Dinos | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed LG Twins | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked LG Twins | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…99c0backed LG Twins | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…d0f9backed LG Twins | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 45c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked LG Twins | 54c | 27.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked LG Twins | 58c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.