Lol · resolved market
LoL: Tung Tung Bogi vs Panelão LHC (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d7d546083c372f7511af81c6208a4b74fc082a28d948a50b43a536ef5bd89c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung Tung Bogiof Tung Tung Bogi, Panelão LHC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Panelão LHC | 40c | 3,227$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.54 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Tung Tung Bogi | 69c | 2,171$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.85 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 57c | 1,725$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.09 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Panelão LHC | 11c | 1,149$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Panelão LHC | 28c | 837.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed Panelão LHC | 15c | 449.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Tung Tung Bogi | 55c | 443.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Tung Tung Bogi | 55c | 403.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…34e1backed Panelão LHC | 7c | 270.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Panelão LHC | 45c | 259$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 56c | 185.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Panelão LHC | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 149 | 7.4%11 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Panelão LHC | 15c | 155.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Panelão LHC | 15c | 139.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Panelão LHC | 41c | 137.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panelão LHC | 19c | 115.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Panelão LHC | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 358 | 35.5%127 W · 231 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Panelão LHC | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…59e2backed Tung Tung Bogi | 56c | 96.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Tung Tung Bogi | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 461 | 51.4%237 W · 224 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Panelão LHC | 13c | 81.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Panelão LHC | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 63c | 79.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Tung Tung Bogi | 57c | 76.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 400 | 55.8%223 W · 177 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Panelão LHC | 44c | 74.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 70c | 68.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Panelão LHC | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Panelão LHC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Panelão LHC | 43c | 43.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Panelão LHC | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed Panelão LHC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Panelão LHC | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Panelão LHC | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Tung Tung Bogi | 75c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 82 | 81.7%67 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Tung Tung Bogi | 70c | 26.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 55c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…5ce6backed Tung Tung Bogi | 65c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.