Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Amanda Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2461ec37e59447c07ad27870ded8f8b8645938c00ce114963c5e76a021cb90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anisimovaof Paolini, Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Paolini | 38c | 7,698$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.87 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Anisimova | 59c | 5,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Anisimova | 61c | 1,650$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Anisimova | 48c | 1,150$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Paolini | 38c | 999.75$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.53 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paolini | 49c | 952$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.67 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Paolini | 46c | 868.7$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Anisimova | 60c | 839.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Paolini | 9c | 746$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Paolini | 37c | 710$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Anisimova | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Anisimova | 54c | 636.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Anisimova | 62c | 607.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Paolini | 41c | 598.24$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Anisimova | 58c | 518.2$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Paolini | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Paolini | 40c | 499.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Anisimova | 61c | 492.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Paolini | 35c | 489.1$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Paolini | 36c | 478.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Paolini | 38c | 406$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Anisimova | 40c | 356.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Anisimova | 64c | 354.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Paolini | 39c | 339.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Anisimova | 50c | 323.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Paolini | 40c | 287$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Anisimova | 65c | 282.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Anisimova | 59c | 249$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Anisimova | 51c | 246.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Paolini | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Anisimova | 76c | 182.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Paolini | 47c | 176$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Paolini | 59c | 173.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Anisimova | 62c | 172.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Anisimova | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anisimova | 62c | 138.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…84e5backed Anisimova | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Anisimova | 57c | 105.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paolini | 38c | 101.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Paolini | 50c | 99.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…95dcbacked Anisimova | 57c | 98.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Anisimova | 73c | 83.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Paolini | 43c | 79.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Anisimova | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Anisimova | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Anisimova | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Anisimova | 61c | 59.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Anisimova | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Anisimova | 42c | 55.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Anisimova | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Paolini | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Anisimova | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paolini | 37c | 47.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…8479backed Anisimova | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Anisimova | 61c | 45.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Anisimova | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova | 63c | 42.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paolini | 36c | 41.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Anisimova | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Anisimova | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Anisimova | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Paolini | 47c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…a136backed Anisimova | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…dcc2backed Anisimova | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Anisimova | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…a540backed Anisimova | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…c8cebacked Anisimova | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Anisimova | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.