Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gandia: Pablo Aunion vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb3bb6028673e53f88c421d6b726f99d5a0f4926647bc31d90d230987764f052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmientoof Pablo Aunion, Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 19c | 18,454$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,885.49 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Pablo Aunion | 40c | 7,428$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 61c | 5,870$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.6 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 29c | 1,973$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.26 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.38 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 58c | 1,031$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.47 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 52c | 780.92$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.72 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 790 | 47.5%375 W · 415 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 53c | 449$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 36c | 343.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.74 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 67c | 266$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 52c | 175.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 52c | 173.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 36c | 163.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 36c | 162.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 33c | 154.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Pablo Aunion | 66c | 152.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 57c | 152.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 33c | 127.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 34c | 111.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 19c | 80.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 42c | 64.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 39c | 47.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 38c | 38.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Pablo Aunion | 53c | 38.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Pablo Aunion | 45c | 33.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Pablo Aunion | 35c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 33c | 32.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 441 | 44.7%197 W · 244 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 49c | 31.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Pablo Aunion | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pablo Aunion | 64c | 20.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Pablo Aunion | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Pablo Aunion | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 65c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Pablo Aunion | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.