Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Federico Bondioli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb98233ccae8212c5b87c8d7d2028d88a853104214c125fbd2a67703f5f129ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Bondioliof Matyas Fule, Federico Bondioli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Matyas Fule | 17c | 8,161$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.27 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Matyas Fule | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Matyas Fule | 19c | 3,325$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Matyas Fule | 9c | 3,124$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Matyas Fule | 16c | 2,452$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Matyas Fule | 16c | 1,365$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Federico Bondioli | 74c | 1,308$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Bondioli | 71c | 1,299$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Matyas Fule | 13c | 999.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Matyas Fule | 12c | 881.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matyas Fule | 7c | 705.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Matyas Fule | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Matyas Fule | 27c | 630.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Matyas Fule | 12c | 319.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matyas Fule | 7c | 317.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…e212backed Matyas Fule | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Matyas Fule | 5c | 252.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matyas Fule | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Matyas Fule | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Matyas Fule | 6c | 202$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Matyas Fule | 17c | 195.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Matyas Fule | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Matyas Fule | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Federico Bondioli | 72c | 139.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Federico Bondioli | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Matyas Fule | 15c | 135.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matyas Fule | 13c | 129.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matyas Fule | 27c | 114.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Matyas Fule | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Matyas Fule | 28c | 84.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Matyas Fule | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Federico Bondioli | 71c | 73.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Matyas Fule | 17c | 72.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Federico Bondioli | 75c | 72.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Matyas Fule | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Federico Bondioli | 74c | 50.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matyas Fule | 30c | 47.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Matyas Fule | 27c | 37.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Federico Bondioli | 71c | 35.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Federico Bondioli | 73c | 29.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Federico Bondioli | 73c | 28.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Federico Bondioli | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Federico Bondioli | 77c | 26.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…3857backed Federico Bondioli | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Federico Bondioli | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Federico Bondioli | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Federico Bondioli | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Federico Bondioli | 71c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.