Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Essex vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec29640d2f1c76995beea19fee993fb7ca7e4bf73092b546b039f2bec1e184ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Essex, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Essex | 1c | 8,550$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Essex | 16c | 6,015$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.75 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Essex | 32c | 2,576$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.59 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 63c | 1,546$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.52 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…6159backed Essex | 4c | 1,144$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Surrey | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Surrey | 79c | 1,056$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Essex | 12c | 932.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Surrey | 63c | 815.72$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.32 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Essex | 24c | 675$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Essex | 29c | 565$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Essex | 13c | 513.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Essex | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Essex | 25c | 254.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…8279backed Essex | 37c | 233.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 21c | 205$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Essex | 26c | 204.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…1f59backed Essex | 13c | 184$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Surrey | 75c | 159.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Essex | 36c | 129$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Essex | 19c | 110.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Essex | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Essex | 38c | 78.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 65c | 76.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Surrey | 74c | 70.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Surrey | 60c | 64.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Surrey | 56c | 62.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Essex | 40c | 60.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Essex | 22c | 60.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Surrey | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Essex | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Essex | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Essex | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Surrey | 63c | 43.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Essex | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Surrey | 62c | 39.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Essex | 37c | 33.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Surrey | 58c | 33.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Essex | 36c | 33.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Surrey | 63c | 30.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Surrey | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed Surrey | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Surrey | 74c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Surrey | 63c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.