Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec522bba2b43acf8cf78e3f2daaac4cbd9606f2eec574edc2f9149b1714221df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 5,172$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 66c | 1,076$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.29 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 1,010$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 506.42$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Yes | 68c | 427.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 65c | 322.62$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 69c | 239.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 77c | 236.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 200.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 76c | 157.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…c10cbacked Yes | 76c | 130.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 77c | 130.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 35c | 103.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 13c | 93.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…f839backed Yes | 79c | 84.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…eb91backed Yes | 75c | 82.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…1637backed Yes | 31c | 80.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 68c | 73.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 64.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 27c | 63.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 23c | 60.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…2574backed Yes | 40c | 57.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 55.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed No | 64c | 54.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…b44ebacked Yes | 58c | 51.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 25c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 41c | 41.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 66c | 40.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…94babacked Yes | 75c | 40.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 40c | 27.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 76c | 24.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…27ebbacked Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 77c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…2954backed Yes | 78c | 13.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.