NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf5f7790a2523259345734cd304ca1ca32ec48a963d343ae9eb789f0ccb7967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 80c | 17,350$13,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,815.25 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 10c | 15,968$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,316.35 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Hawks | 17c | 7,814$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Hawks | 9c | 6,985$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.33 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 5c | 6,484$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Hawks | 6c | 5,547$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.03 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 3c | 3,571$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 38c | 3,565$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.55 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Hawks | 21c | 3,484$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.94 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Hawks | 11c | 3,456$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.73 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 38c | 3,010$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.75 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hawks | 24c | 2,793$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.8 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8a18backed Hawks | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hawks | 12c | 2,483$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.19 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Hawks | 19c | 2,240$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.82 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Hawks | 10c | 2,102$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Hawks | 11c | 2,073$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Hawks | 10c | 2,000$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.94 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Celtics | 55c | 1,920$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Hawks | 9c | 1,751$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Hawks | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Hawks | 14c | 1,556$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.42 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.57 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Hawks | 11c | 1,482$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Hawks | 8c | 1,270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.55 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Hawks | 12c | 1,266$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.62 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Hawks | 10c | 1,242$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…62c5backed Hawks | 12c | 1,197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…c632backed Hawks | 11c | 1,118$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Hawks | 9c | 1,050$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Hawks | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 10c | 999.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.9 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Celtics | 57c | 987.95$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.05 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Hawks | 9c | 961.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…600dbacked Hawks | 10c | 900$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks | 10c | 889.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.04 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Hawks | 10c | 859.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.81 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…946dbacked Hawks | 12c | 820$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 24c | 737.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.4 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hawks | 9c | 678.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.57 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Hawks | 9c | 615.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.47 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Celtics | 71c | 577.43$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.58 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…5bb4backed Hawks | 10c | 560.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Hawks | 17c | 558.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Hawks | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…c420backed Hawks | 10c | 535.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Hawks | 9c | 489.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Hawks | 10c | 480.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…5ccdbacked Hawks | 11c | 472.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Hawks | 9c | 460.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.28 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hawks | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hawks | 3c | 450$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Hawks | 21c | 402.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Hawks | 12c | 400.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.66 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Hawks | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d9dfbacked Hawks | 9c | 396.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e42…f833backed Hawks | 12c | 380$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Celtics | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Hawks | 10c | 350$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…90a3backed Hawks | 65c | 324.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Hawks | 11c | 320.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Celtics | 61c | 319.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Hawks | 7c | 318.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Hawks | 9c | 314.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hawks | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Hawks | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…61f3backed Hawks | 12c | 299.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks | 9c | 299.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Celtics | 73c | 283.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…3817backed Hawks | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Hawks | 9c | 250$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hawks | 12c | 225$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Hawks | 12c | 210$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Hawks | 12c | 210$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…148cbacked Hawks | 58c | 202.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Hawks | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…33c1backed Hawks | 11c | 200$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Hawks | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…718bbacked Hawks | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…d78bbacked Hawks | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +258.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Hawks | 11c | 200$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Hawks | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Hawks | 63c | 194.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Hawks | 10c | 191.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885d…70ecbacked Hawks | 10c | 190$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…b023backed Hawks | 11c | 178.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Hawks | 9c | 170$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Hawks | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Hawks | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…318bbacked Hawks | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…685cbacked Hawks | 9c | 152.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Hawks | 11c | 151.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…2f21backed Hawks | 10c | 150.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +903.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Hawks | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Hawks | 11c | 149.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Hawks | 12c | 149.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 7c | 147.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934d…9f56backed Hawks | 80c | 128.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 11c | 125$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.