TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brasov: Andrej Nedic vs Keegan Smith

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keegan Smithof Andrej Nedic, Keegan Smith
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Andrej Nedic40c4,148$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.018,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Keegan Smith63c2,223$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.5224961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Andrej Nedic28c1,451$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7487237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Keegan Smith71c1,435$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2629754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Keegan Smith46c1,358$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.14,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Keegan Smith62c1,229$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.5815225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Smith62c1,119$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.384,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Keegan Smith31c853.65$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.523628.8%68 W · 168 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Keegan Smith72c698.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a17…e0c3backed Keegan Smith27c518.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.521729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andrej Nedic30c499.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.429,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andrej Nedic30c498.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andrej Nedic45c364.69$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.173,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Keegan Smith28c356.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.421,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Andrej Nedic30c356.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.772,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrej Nedic30c336.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.866,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith66c326.03$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.425,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Andrej Nedic40c316.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.435052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Andrej Nedic26c311.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Andrej Nedic22c289.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Andrej Nedic34c289.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.181,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Andrej Nedic26c272.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Andrej Nedic40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Andrej Nedic27c224.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Andrej Nedic28c223.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.441,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Keegan Smith53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9443352.9%229 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Andrej Nedic31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.734,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Keegan Smith68c199.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.884,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Andrej Nedic20c195$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Keegan Smith75c192.78$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.651,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Keegan Smith61c174.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9843062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Keegan Smith80c173.74$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4311338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Andrej Nedic26c154.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrej Nedic47c146.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.528,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Andrej Nedic45c145.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.995251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Keegan Smith72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.244950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Andrej Nedic21c138.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.161,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Andrej Nedic28c134$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9792352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Andrej Nedic39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…4525backed Andrej Nedic20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256429.7%19 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith52c112.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.728,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keegan Smith41c111.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.061,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Keegan Smith46c105.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.231,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Andrej Nedic46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.242,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Andrej Nedic29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andrej Nedic73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Andrej Nedic72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9935457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Andrej Nedic47c94.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7979951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Keegan Smith70c93.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1747274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Andrej Nedic73c93.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.530158.8%177 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68bebacked Keegan Smith67c87.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2113636.8%50 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a2…cd05backed Keegan Smith59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Andrej Nedic37c84.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.242,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Keegan Smith80c82.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.487040%28 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith65c81.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.596,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba3…ddcbbacked Andrej Nedic37c81.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x074b…af96backed Keegan Smith70c80.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Andrej Nedic29c77.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Smith27c76.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.882,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Andrej Nedic69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Keegan Smith75c70.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6510841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Keegan Smith70c70.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.322,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Keegan Smith72c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Keegan Smith32c64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.541,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf9…f35bbacked Andrej Nedic40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Keegan Smith46c61.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.192138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Andrej Nedic36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8718147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Andrej Nedic31c57.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Andrej Nedic29c51.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.861,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Andrej Nedic24c51.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.367835.9%28 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Andrej Nedic31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Andrej Nedic50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Andrej Nedic31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.573951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Andrej Nedic21c48.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Andrej Nedic26c48.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19dc…f2b5backed Keegan Smith65c47.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Andrej Nedic62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6839035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Andrej Nedic32c43.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.924748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Andrej Nedic68c40.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.551,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Keegan Smith75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1034854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Andrej Nedic27c38.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5460452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Andrej Nedic61c37.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.991,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Andrej Nedic71c34.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Keegan Smith66c34.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88c…0926backed Keegan Smith74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c41…8794backed Keegan Smith63c33.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Keegan Smith72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1397852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Keegan Smith59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3646440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Andrej Nedic70c29.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.930055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…6c36backed Keegan Smith72c29.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Andrej Nedic60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15348.8%3 W · 31 L-15.6wins-0.46per pick55cpaid-85.6%equal weight21-0.26 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Keegan Smith74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.525336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337a…b913backed Andrej Nedic52c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.014632.6%15 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Keegan Smith63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Andrej Nedic70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Keegan Smith50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1035258.2%205 W · 147 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Andrej Nedic73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.518664.5%120 W · 66 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Keegan Smith70c19.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7946453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Andrej Nedic72c19.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8531657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Keegan Smith71c19.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.