NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb3cd61c6e5c6238f26206711a1cbc9820ba17a613a3337c716a1e176a26e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 7,546$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.65 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 6,457$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.72 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 45c | 2,843$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.75 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,677$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 57c | 1,526$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.64 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 680.13$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 550.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.57 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 55c | 322.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 56c | 233.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 231$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Over | 56c | 229$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 56c | 229$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 55c | 191.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 188.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 159.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 56c | 146$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 56c | 139$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 27c | 132.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 55c | 131$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 43c | 128.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 56c | 128.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Over | 56c | 117$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…9d76backed Under | 49c | 110.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 95.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 56c | 94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 57c | 87.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 71c | 62.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 32c | 62.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 60.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 57c | 49.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…aebebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 57c | 41.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 56c | 40.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Over | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 43c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 44c | 27.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 44c | 27.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 25.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 75c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…ac83backed Over | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. CanucksKings won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.