Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb816ff274c8c507d88e2775baec9f0ba4c5f72d73e3918b27cec74d994f36f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,033$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 53c | 830.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.68 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 54c | 743.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.31 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 702.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 551.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked No | 74c | 500$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 48c | 399.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 48c | 243.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 35c | 238.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 238.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 234.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 51c | 228.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 49c | 209.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 52c | 196.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 53c | 189.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 45c | 186.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Yes | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes | 52c | 154.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 43c | 146.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 58c | 138.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 131.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 51c | 127.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 104.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 96.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 75c | 66.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 64.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed No | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed No | 49c | 59.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 130 | 32.3%42 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 49c | 24.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.