Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ec72c84099b19e53ca50df0a04bc4f1c7e6ae07ddfd7cb3fcad4c5e8be8ebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe6f…8887backed Under | 72c | 2,909$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 50c | 2,333$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.14 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 48c | 1,207$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Over | 39c | 1,202$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 21c | 1,168$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.83 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 72c | 1,069$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.76 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 44c | 686$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 590.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 576.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 77c | 517.27$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 501.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 31c | 488.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 24c | 456.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 32c | 311.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Under | 17c | 283.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 77c | 260.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Over | 77c | 259.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 253.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 219.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 10c | 217.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 208$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 206.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 24c | 203.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 42c | 156.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 154.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 11c | 148.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 62c | 135.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 12c | 101.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 22c | 91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 88.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 55c | 79.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 78.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 76.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 29c | 70.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 67.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 62.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Over | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 73c | 38.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 74c | 26.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…a929backed Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…dd3fbacked Under | 57c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 75c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 75c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 17.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 65c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…3ee1backed Over | 77c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5this page
- Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.