TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c59,654$38,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,834.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c15,530$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,566.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c6,627$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.7812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c5,293$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c4,966$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.252,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over1c4,876$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.764623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over20c3,262$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.981,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62040736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,345$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.231,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c2,318$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.821,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under25c2,010$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.59247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c1,919$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c1,839$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.11,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over20c1,781$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7722813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over1c1,586$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over52c1,527$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c1,470$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1161323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick8cpaid+196.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Under7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+304.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe44f…fff1backed Under7c1,200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1161020%2 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+185.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.514564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c858.35$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.451,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c837.45$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.541,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under65c774.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4419158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Over48c687.99$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.352650%13 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under50c622$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under24c600$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4586144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c570.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.583,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c557.62$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.222,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.222,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over40c528.65$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4621747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under5c500$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under49c495.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9210349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over52c475.1$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over25c444$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11122919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Over6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c387.45$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.482,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over51c331.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over38c300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.614146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c279$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8286…6aa5backed Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over48c230$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under52c224.8$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.966747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c215$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c204.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.293,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over15c199.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c198.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under54c196.43$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over53c188.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c186$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.921,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c181.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over19c172.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7138745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b24…6a9cbacked Under50c158.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3613145%59 W · 72 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Under49c143.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3313548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c116.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over50c97.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7619746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c95.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8482340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over52c93.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.838439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Over27c93.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.584535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over47c78.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.074647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…1927backed Under64c77.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.525054%27 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Under71c70.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7916861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under26c64.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7220553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d92…9102backed Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x512d…c94bbacked Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under51c56.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.636167.2%41 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over30c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5524555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2618444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over39c48.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.752,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over39c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4522153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…adfabacked Under65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under60c36.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6790840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.926631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under49c24.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4524257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Under50c23.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7216052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under46c23.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5339746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under49c21.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0236558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…a34abacked Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.