Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f3320b5b0f6bbf783abd0233eaf450b0819d4a79372629cac136e11f27ae504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 59,654$38,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,834.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 15,530$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,566.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 6,627$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.78 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 5,293$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 4,966$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.25 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 1c | 4,876$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 20c | 3,262$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.98 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,345$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.23 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 2,318$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.82 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 25c | 2,010$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 1,919$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,839$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.1 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 1,781$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.77 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 1c | 1,586$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 52c | 1,527$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,470$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.98 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Under | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed Under | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 48c | 858.35$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 837.45$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Under | 65c | 774.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Over | 48c | 687.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 50c | 622$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 24c | 600$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 570.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 557.62$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 40c | 528.65$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.46 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Under | 49c | 495.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 475.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Over | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 56c | 387.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 51c | 331.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 279$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 52c | 224.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 215$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 204.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 15c | 199.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 198.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 54c | 196.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 186$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 181.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 19c | 172.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked Under | 50c | 158.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Under | 49c | 143.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 116.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 97.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 95.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 93.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 27c | 93.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 47c | 78.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…1927backed Under | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Under | 71c | 70.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 26c | 64.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…9102backed Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512d…c94bbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 51c | 56.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 39c | 48.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…adfabacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 36.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 49c | 24.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 50c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 46c | 23.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 49c | 21.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…a34abacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5this page
- Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.