TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Oxford United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over42c70,226$29,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,442.545352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under58c47,224$27,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,833.8924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over42c20,030$8,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,412.616651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under62c10,693$6,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,068.872,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c9,516$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c5,999$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c5,747$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.631,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under58c5,451$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.631,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over26c1,535$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.129532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over42c1,080$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.47844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under63c864.99$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.615352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over42c461.48$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8213444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under58c430.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0213045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under58c350$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.473951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under58c317$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1472142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over44c249.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11039651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under56c212.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7922229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c194$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.481,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under58c190.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8033753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under58c119.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.394843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Under58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under58c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under58c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under58c64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under58c59.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1920931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Under58c59.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.942544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under58c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc301…c243backed Under58c50.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514049.3%69 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under58c45.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.953447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.499650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under58c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under58c36.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.316940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0f…a96bbacked Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under58c29.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under58c26.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.042458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0826958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0829057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0828359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.49554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Under54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.746100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under58c18.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.912751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e3…4cc6backed Under58c18.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.