Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Kayla Day
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecf01380a6bb12a4c01a81755b323f0ef62cbc02986c945e28c2452e9aef487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Dayof Erika Andreeva, Kayla Day
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kayla Day | 57c | 3,850$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.26 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Erika Andreeva | 43c | 3,130$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Erika Andreeva | 23c | 3,042$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Erika Andreeva | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Erika Andreeva | 2c | 1,087$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kayla Day | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Erika Andreeva | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Erika Andreeva | 44c | 545.55$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kayla Day | 65c | 518.01$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Erika Andreeva | 32c | 506.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Erika Andreeva | 48c | 460$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Kayla Day | 56c | 359.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Kayla Day | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Kayla Day | 55c | 313.04$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kayla Day | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Kayla Day | 58c | 299$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Erika Andreeva | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Kayla Day | 71c | 279.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Erika Andreeva | 43c | 234.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Erika Andreeva | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kayla Day | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Kayla Day | 63c | 190.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Kayla Day | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Erika Andreeva | 36c | 174.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Erika Andreeva | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Erika Andreeva | 26c | 162.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Erika Andreeva | 34c | 137.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kayla Day | 56c | 131.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kayla Day | 56c | 130.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Kayla Day | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Erika Andreeva | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Kayla Day | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Erika Andreeva | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Erika Andreeva | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Erika Andreeva | 42c | 93.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kayla Day | 58c | 89.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kayla Day | 58c | 84.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Erika Andreeva | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Erika Andreeva | 19c | 63.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Erika Andreeva | 49c | 55.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Erika Andreeva | 25c | 55.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Erika Andreeva | 43c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Erika Andreeva | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Erika Andreeva | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kayla Day | 59c | 42.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Erika Andreeva | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…0808backed Erika Andreeva | 40c | 36.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kayla Day | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Erika Andreeva | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 52.2%153 W · 140 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…6d33backed Kayla Day | 59c | 30.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Erika Andreeva | 44c | 30.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kayla Day | 57c | 30.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kayla Day | 59c | 28.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Kayla Day | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Erika Andreeva | 41c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Erika Andreeva | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Kayla Day | 67c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Kayla Daythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs DayDay won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.