Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01a2eef10431aff7fbbf46269948e33eb7206a6e4a1af53a2450d73ccecb244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 38c | 2,692$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.01 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 61c | 2,477$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.86 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 62c | 1,634$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.58 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 59c | 1,035$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 39c | 991.77$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Under | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 63c | 603.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 37c | 603.17$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Under | 38c | 399.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 41c | 395.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 355$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Under | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Under | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 347$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 332.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 57c | 265.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under | 40c | 231.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 36c | 217.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 37c | 194.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 37c | 120.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…eadebacked Over | 60c | 101.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Over | 56c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 78c | 58.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…1c23backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…830ebacked Over | 59c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 62c | 28.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 39c | 27.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 62c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Australia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.