Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82c35bb8aa04a7d77a9293b3ce06da1fc400ceb4faed6aa1afd728e2a503648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 21c | 11,556$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.77 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Over | 79c | 6,203$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.53 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 2c | 3,510$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 3c | 1,515$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…75d1backed Under | 25c | 796.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 779.27$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 22c | 653.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 21c | 599.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 16c | 340.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Over | 79c | 296.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 22c | 289.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 23c | 281.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 18c | 273.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 78c | 256.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…e835backed Over | 79c | 253.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 22c | 163.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…9ba1backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Under | 13c | 91.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 21c | 88.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed Under | 13c | 83.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…cc54backed Over | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 78c | 63.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…71a1backed Over | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…417fbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8fd8backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Over | 77c | 35.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked Over | 78c | 30.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…6cf6backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…2d24backed Over | 79c | 24.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d7…0ffebacked Over | 75c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…c0a0backed Over | 78c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…7dc5backed Over | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Australia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.