Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847437c87f50c88bd3b7501afb272b5d8df1e1eb6783fbbcfcf697275ac6e50b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 55c | 1,149$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.77 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.87 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 46c | 646.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 57c | 319.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 236.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed Under | 53c | 231.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 43c | 222.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 57c | 206.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 102.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Over | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 46c | 74.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3869backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 45c | 54.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…5b70backed Over | 43c | 47.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 54c | 45.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 42c | 36.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 57c | 32.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…1ab0backed Over | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Australia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.