Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9297421cac7c2d4442aafe909c38fcb0c019df872b408c4cd951e377b5da8ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 57c | 883.27$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 60c | 725.03$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.89 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 62c | 705.66$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.39 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 59c | 567.3$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.71 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 464.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 59c | 445.9$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 48c | 331.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 304.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 298.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 59c | 279.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 277.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 245$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 36c | 236.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 233.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 65c | 202.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 44c | 136.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 37c | 125.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 39c | 120.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 61c | 119.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 43c | 98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 61c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 45c | 66.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 67c | 64.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 41c | 62.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Under | 42c | 59.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 49c | 55.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…4f78backed Over | 41c | 47.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Over | 47c | 42.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 46c | 41.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 43c | 35.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 60c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 48c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Australia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.