Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2335d2b564e67e15d23fb443586a3dc7bfeb9ff7499b3bc4240b9a84bff719a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 35c | 9,021$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.19 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed Over | 19c | 3,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.3wins | +0.41per pick | 15cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…43c8backed Over | 31c | 3,214$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 45c | 1,600$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 35c | 1,401$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Over | 62c | 1,037$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.82 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 37c | 950.79$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 38c | 655.4$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 601.89$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 37c | 518.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 63c | 476.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 64c | 464.53$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 400.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 377.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 356.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 34c | 204.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcc…4f93backed Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Under | 39c | 117.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Over | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked Over | 71c | 98.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…7715backed Over | 62c | 84.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 39c | 77.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 34c | 66.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 64.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 36c | 60.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 64c | 51.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…0b64backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c7…892cbacked Over | 67c | 44.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Over | 31c | 44.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 37c | 44.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 272 | 51.8%141 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…3e1fbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 30.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…d89ebacked Over | 65c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…050bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Australia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.