Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2ec1a7454f8a94e4d291af138e474041ed49d1419fbe14ab7e583362dc4e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Over | 56c | 2,434$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.66 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 2,430$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.65 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 1,718$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Over | 59c | 1,623$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 41c | 1,623$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.33 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 58c | 1,612$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.8 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 45c | 974.67$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Over | 53c | 878.62$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 59c | 833.8$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.02 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 55c | 768.35$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +20.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 42c | 750$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.27 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 45c | 656.36$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 54c | 466.94$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Over | 54c | 448.25$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…1e08backed Under | 46c | 356.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 301$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 296.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 295.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 277$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 247.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 61c | 244.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 218.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 60c | 212.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 54c | 195.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 54c | 195.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…099dbacked Over | 55c | 188.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 55c | 179.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…e501backed Over | 56c | 177.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 165.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 134.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 65c | 128.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 61c | 105.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 95.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 85.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…4448backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Under | 40c | 61.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Over | 53c | 60.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 45c | 58.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Over | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 44c | 45.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 45c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…29acbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…a8bebacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 48c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…3014backed Over | 48c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 45c | 22.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Over | 53c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- United States vs. Australia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.