Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01a93158178494496d9c01dac9bcacb864adbf5c1903a1f66d50d469c070ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 39c | 1,302$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 63c | 742.1$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 36c | 605.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.47 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 38c | 465.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 44c | 430.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 54c | 367.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 341.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 63c | 259.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 63c | 252.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 27c | 227.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 46c | 209.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…8f13backed Yes | 63c | 180.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 50c | 169.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 80c | 168.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…541dbacked Yes | 61c | 164.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…9599backed Yes | 75c | 159.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 42c | 156.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 65c | 154.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 50c | 138.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 116.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 75c | 101.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b430backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 98.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 55c | 95.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 66c | 89.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 38c | 82.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked Yes | 44c | 82.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 62c | 81.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 75.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Yes | 62c | 60.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 46c | 55.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 40c | 53.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 58c | 52.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 53c | 51.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…8deabacked Yes | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…224ebacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 39c | 49.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 38c | 49.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 45c | 48.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 48.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…cefdbacked Yes | 62c | 48.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 46.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 50c | 43.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 66c | 42.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…26c2backed Yes | 64c | 40.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 60c | 40.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…e45bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a9…bd85backed Yes | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…9a6dbacked Yes | 79c | 37.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked Yes | 79c | 37.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked Yes | 77c | 35.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 47c | 34.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 33.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 55c | 32.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 54c | 31.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…78ebbacked Yes | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 60c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 66c | 27.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 67c | 26.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…fc8bbacked Yes | 69c | 26.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…3ebabacked No | 42c | 25.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…ee28backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…b963backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…e6c9backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked No | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 131 | 67.2%88 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 64c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 77c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…2ef7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0ebbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…aac1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…8df9backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.