MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf073a9597a292d9ef8dd5fddc98a852e8adcb9ca272b315f04637bf56305731d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Lotte Giants, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 1,048$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.25 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Kia Tigers | 52c | 759.77$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 756.17$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lotte Giants | 11c | 494.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 481.35$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 447.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 300.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 271.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 23c | 253.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 18c | 206.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lotte Giants | 8c | 203.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 28c | 177.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 177.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lotte Giants | 6c | 174.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 157.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 147.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lotte Giants | 22c | 139.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lotte Giants | 23c | 113.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 103.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 99.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kia Tigers | 65c | 99.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 85.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 81.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 74.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 64.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kia Tigers | 71c | 56.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 55.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 45.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 39.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 29.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 407 | 50.4%205 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 26.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 24.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.