TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Padres, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Giants50c20,000$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000.5627948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres50c11,530$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,764.751,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres48c7,556$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants8c4,914$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.542,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants10c4,656$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.3717136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Padres60c3,715$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.741,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Padres52c3,385$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Padres51c2,541$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.1698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Giants23c2,029$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.4625835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants37c1,978$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.281,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres50c1,956$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.8933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Padres13c1,650$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.54544.4%20 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Padres25c1,491$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7919650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Padres28c1,426$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants49c1,202$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres50c1,187$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.882,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Giants75c1,000$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.987946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants49c999.95$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Padres50c940.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4915949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Padres13c921.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.825416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Padres10c882.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Padres27c877.78$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23712347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres50c836.01$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0173352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0410…6556backed Padres51c711.05$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.055244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Giants50c571.7$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8553448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Giants29c552.1$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.146132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Giants49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25520450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Padres21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Giants44c474.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.837951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Padres17c470.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe319…0474backed Giants16c435.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants62c427.43$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2563942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Padres25c404$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…137fbacked Giants49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Padres46c400$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Padres51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Giants28c303.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.722312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Giants4c295.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4312314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Padres44c287.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.657451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Giants33c281.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.998842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants25c280$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Padres39c267.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Giants50c256.2$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.19448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Giants7c255.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.192488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants5c244.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23241643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Padres50c227.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.441,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants48c213.01$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.791,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Giants50c207$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Giants14c200$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Giants22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5119849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants48c199.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.963,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Padres50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.57554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Padres53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Giants6c180$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.25642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Giants61c167.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Padres51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Padres25c159.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.359920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x871e…337fbacked Giants78c152.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…1eedbacked Padres20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306445.3%29 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Padres52c149.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9412249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants47c148.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.85,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Giants49c147.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4718848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Padres75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Giants75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Padres52c131.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1543250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…c14fbacked Padres16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres15c117.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Giants41c108.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.257416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants40c101.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.624,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.152,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Padres71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7120954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Giants49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Giants49c99.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.421,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Padres50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Giants50c97.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.839349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Giants49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8478454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Padres52c84.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4428453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Padres51c76.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.242050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Giants28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.439950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Padres50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3549450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres51c58.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Giants38c57.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Padres52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404c…f8e7backed Giants75c52.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.084245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Giants49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0238245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Giants50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Giants75c46.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6224040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Giants26c42.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.028439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Giants50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207652.6%40 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Giants50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2029552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Padres51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013260.6%80 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Padres51c38.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Padres69c37.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5716472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9334…3428backed Giants75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Padres51c31.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddab…ec42backed Giants74c31.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.182748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.