MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f16bc1a30ef10bd65441219f5b0080e9a7e92ff2710ce4748eddc03a2ff7e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 2,781$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,550$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 1,210$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.57 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,000$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.36 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 977.47$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 900$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 857.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.31 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 698.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.14 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 676.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 594.76$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.44 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 561.1$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.94 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 208.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 147.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 103.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 68.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 37.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 33.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…3fc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 32.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…baefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 31.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…4f3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 18.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.