Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f43aa92056c4fccb68a4365bedc9db9709897fcab831dfab6d5dc7269d5116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Michigan Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 20c | 3,279$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 9c | 2,570$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 2,516$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 20c | 2,167$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.02 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 4c | 1,987$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 7c | 1,868$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 13c | 1,536$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 7c | 1,313$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 8c | 1,279$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 1c | 1,107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 13c | 667.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 14c | 633.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 9c | 633.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 11c | 522.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 9c | 499.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 479.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 21c | 457.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 23c | 317.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 11c | 305.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 8c | 255.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 252.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 16c | 237.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 10c | 182.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 12c | 182$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 10c | 167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…ace1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 12c | 163.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 12c | 137.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 130.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 127.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 11c | 114.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 78c | 102.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 14c | 78.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 21c | 56.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverinesthis page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 164.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.