Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Elias Ymer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf379a24ec71ca6cbc703c2979b3e90f3f2e32cfa419527756a50eaaf17b01742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herbertof Herbert, Ymer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ymer | 31c | 3,798$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Herbert | 74c | 3,023$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.88 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Herbert | 67c | 1,120$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Ymer | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Herbert | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.21 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Ymer | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ymer | 47c | 902.03$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.11 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Ymer | 14c | 730.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Herbert | 45c | 647.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Herbert | 75c | 630.81$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Ymer | 53c | 377.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Ymer | 51c | 362.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Ymer | 43c | 300.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Herbert | 62c | 272.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ymer | 49c | 229.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Herbert | 75c | 228.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Herbert | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Herbert | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Ymer | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Ymer | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…ee73backed Ymer | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Herbert | 54c | 185.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Herbert | 52c | 181.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…5bb4backed Ymer | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Ymer | 32c | 150.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Herbert | 49c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Herbert | 62c | 131.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Ymer | 35c | 115.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ymer | 32c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Ymer | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Ymer | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ymer | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Herbert | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Herbert | 51c | 98.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Herbert | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Ymer | 52c | 96.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ymer | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ymer | 25c | 89.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ymer | 14c | 80.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ymer | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ymer | 52c | 75.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ymer | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Herbert | 48c | 69.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Herbert | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Herbert | 60c | 67.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Herbert | 61c | 60.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Herbert | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Ymer | 33c | 53.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ymer | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ymer | 51c | 49.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Herbert | 50c | 45.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…d493backed Herbert | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Herbert | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Herbert | 66c | 40.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Herbert | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Ymer | 51c | 39.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ymer | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…9359backed Herbert | 51c | 25.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…ac4abacked Herbert | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Herbert | 67c | 24.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Ymer | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Ymer | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Herbert | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.