TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: August Holmgren vs Braden Shick

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Braden Shickof August Holmgren, Braden Shick
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f3e…bcf8backed August Holmgren67c11,111$7,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,444.3676146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick56c6,602$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.618,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Braden Shick20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9838033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Braden Shick66c4,932$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.044,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed August Holmgren10c2,843$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3790335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren62c2,157$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Braden Shick32c2,050$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.2337738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed August Holmgren68c1,906$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.0156651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed August Holmgren67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2510…7a97backed August Holmgren21c1,422$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.497622.4%17 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed August Holmgren65c1,393$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.495,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Braden Shick17c1,334$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10219041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Braden Shick16c1,292$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.2871725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed August Holmgren65c1,267$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82218731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked August Holmgren80c1,212$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.64,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Braden Shick47c1,145$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9448855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Braden Shick24c999.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9953644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Braden Shick51c751.05$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.151,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed August Holmgren51c610.5$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.543,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Braden Shick64c528.58$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.432,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c62…7357backed Braden Shick15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4255625%14 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Braden Shick70c487.7$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.18,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Braden Shick52c450.52$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.592,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed August Holmgren26c443.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.193,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Braden Shick61c373.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.042,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked August Holmgren80c351$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.837460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked August Holmgren60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed August Holmgren80c328$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.439759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed August Holmgren80c327.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.392,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked August Holmgren35c326$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1939159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Braden Shick63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4624440.2%98 W · 146 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed August Holmgren80c315$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25231164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked August Holmgren9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb7…0bd3backed August Holmgren10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed August Holmgren64c244.47$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.286,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Braden Shick48c242.9$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3443347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked August Holmgren80c239.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.546,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Braden Shick19c236.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8436342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed August Holmgren80c236.16$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braden Shick43c231.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.672,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked August Holmgren73c218.51$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5122335.4%79 W · 144 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Braden Shick36c188.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.651,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Braden Shick59c166.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3365942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Braden Shick50c164.34$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed August Holmgren37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3133855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Braden Shick33c160.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.613,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed August Holmgren62c156.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.253,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Braden Shick33c154.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.553,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed August Holmgren69c153.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10638356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed August Holmgren46c138.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8967239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Braden Shick45c126.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.791,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed August Holmgren69c118.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Braden Shick28c115.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.279,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed August Holmgren68c110.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756031.7%19 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Braden Shick31c108.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9526441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Braden Shick31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6993945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Braden Shick51c99.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed August Holmgren48c92.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.381,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Braden Shick13c88.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.312,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c5…1de7backed Braden Shick80c86.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked August Holmgren19c83.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed August Holmgren30c80.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7570537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Braden Shick37c79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7797852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed August Holmgren66c76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.841,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked August Holmgren69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Braden Shick60c71.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4628154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Braden Shick49c68.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7539648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Braden Shick31c64.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.55,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Braden Shick31c59.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed August Holmgren34c59.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Braden Shick33c56.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed August Holmgren65c56.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7343144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Braden Shick32c56.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2930644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed August Holmgren72c55.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Braden Shick67c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.791,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed August Holmgren75c53.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.754,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed August Holmgren69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.534359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Braden Shick35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Braden Shick35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8656337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Braden Shick38c40.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9617147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked August Holmgren37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6947857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Braden Shick31c33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.773,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Braden Shick37c32.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.541,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked August Holmgren80c30.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.047851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Braden Shick34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.812550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed August Holmgren52c25.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked August Holmgren80c23.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7927748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Braden Shick43c23.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3141440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed August Holmgren69c23.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed August Holmgren58c22.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.131,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed August Holmgren68c20.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked August Holmgren68c19.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9615846.8%74 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed August Holmgren64c18.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8146851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Braden Shick65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.649658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x998a…802bbacked Braden Shick77c15.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked August Holmgren80c14.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810052%52 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.