Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4abc910d94378c9c15f8e6fa1fe81ec870564239de60518e86ef12aaf9d6ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reina Gotoof Chenting Zhu, Reina Goto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Reina Goto | 46c | 3,857$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.36 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chenting Zhu | 52c | 2,483$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.71 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chenting Zhu | 55c | 1,599$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.27 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Reina Goto | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 1,895 | 44.9%851 W · 1,044 L | +38.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Reina Goto | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 1,893 | 45.9%868 W · 1,025 L | +53.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Chenting Zhu | 56c | 933.89$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 647 | 45.9%297 W · 350 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chenting Zhu | 65c | 835.24$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.33 | 1,750 | 50.2%878 W · 872 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Reina Goto | 13c | 778.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.72 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Reina Goto | 33c | 604.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.12 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chenting Zhu | 53c | 589.53$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Reina Goto | 57c | 586.67$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 630 | 45.4%286 W · 344 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Reina Goto | 50c | 400.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 375 | 34.9%131 W · 244 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Reina Goto | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chenting Zhu | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,147 | 47.3%542 W · 605 L | +65.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Reina Goto | 80c | 162.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Chenting Zhu | 71c | 140.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 839 | 56.1%471 W · 368 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chenting Zhu | 46c | 124.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 5,377 | 28.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chenting Zhu | 46c | 109.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Reina Goto | 46c | 106.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Chenting Zhu | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Chenting Zhu | 60c | 91.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 843 | 57.3%483 W · 360 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Chenting Zhu | 66c | 90.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 373 | 57.6%215 W · 158 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Chenting Zhu | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Chenting Zhu | 57c | 84.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Reina Goto | 53c | 78.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Chenting Zhu | 67c | 74.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1,789 | 48.7%872 W · 917 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chenting Zhu | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Reina Goto | 20c | 67.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Chenting Zhu | 54c | 66.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Reina Goto | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…af22backed Chenting Zhu | 76c | 55.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -9.8wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Chenting Zhu | 62c | 54.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Reina Goto | 38c | 47.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 3,752 | 45.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chenting Zhu | 69c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chenting Zhu | 71c | 46.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chenting Zhu | 32c | 42.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chenting Zhu | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,863 | 41.1%765 W · 1,098 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Chenting Zhu | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Chenting Zhu | 66c | 38.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,136 | 56.7%644 W · 492 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Reina Goto | 38c | 36.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Reina Goto | 55c | 35.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Reina Goto | 54c | 30.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Chenting Zhu | 57c | 30.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Reina Goto | 55c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Reina Goto | 50c | 26.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chenting Zhu | 49c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Chenting Zhu | 58c | 24.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16f…9117backed Chenting Zhu | 46c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Chenting Zhu | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Chenting Zhu | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Chenting Zhu | 64c | 18.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.