TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Darwin Blanch vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jack Pinnington Jonesof Darwin Blanch, Jack Pinnington Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Jack Pinnington Jones31c4,088$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.168,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Darwin Blanch26c3,217$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.938,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Darwin Blanch44c3,196$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40021244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Darwin Blanch19c1,981$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.534,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Darwin Blanch43c1,931$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.885,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Darwin Blanch42c1,616$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6812146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Darwin Blanch44c1,453$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.154,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jack Pinnington Jones42c921.74$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.516,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jack Pinnington Jones59c674.62$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.357,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Darwin Blanch18c664.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.472,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Jack Pinnington Jones42c662.54$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6637741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jack Pinnington Jones68c636.03$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.999,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Jack Pinnington Jones74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Darwin Blanch54c589.9$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.272,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jack Pinnington Jones68c586.44$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.284,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Darwin Blanch60c493.39$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7213360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Darwin Blanch66c487.81$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.817,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Darwin Blanch41c483.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.024,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jack Pinnington Jones45c356.74$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.322,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Jack Pinnington Jones62c349.36$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7554345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Darwin Blanch59c338.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19881933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Jack Pinnington Jones31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5868026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darwin Blanch55c314.01$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.326,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jack Pinnington Jones54c269.76$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.264,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Jack Pinnington Jones59c238.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7725763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jack Pinnington Jones41c219.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.323,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Darwin Blanch16c210.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1517617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Jack Pinnington Jones44c192.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9743067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Jack Pinnington Jones79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8737071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Darwin Blanch53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Jack Pinnington Jones75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Jack Pinnington Jones68c143$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.762,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jack Pinnington Jones38c141.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.338,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Jack Pinnington Jones62c140.6$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.630339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Jack Pinnington Jones35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jack Pinnington Jones77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Darwin Blanch66c131.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4118033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Jack Pinnington Jones39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2159440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Jack Pinnington Jones67c128.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9427231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Darwin Blanch55c125.89$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2434549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darwin Blanch43c125.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Darwin Blanch20c118.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Darwin Blanch54c115.04$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.071,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Darwin Blanch45c112.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9274346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Jack Pinnington Jones76c103.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.356070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Jack Pinnington Jones80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa164…4e82backed Darwin Blanch18c99.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Jack Pinnington Jones40c99.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.051,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Jack Pinnington Jones64c97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0658750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Darwin Blanch56c92.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.911,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Darwin Blanch33c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3845235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Darwin Blanch57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Darwin Blanch35c65.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1185624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Jack Pinnington Jones60c64.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.142,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Darwin Blanch53c62.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.321,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Darwin Blanch21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0216718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Darwin Blanch54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Darwin Blanch45c54.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Jack Pinnington Jones43c53.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.311,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Jack Pinnington Jones42c51.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jack Pinnington Jones45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Darwin Blanch64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2537…26febacked Jack Pinnington Jones78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Jack Pinnington Jones42c49.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Darwin Blanch53c47.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3670456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Darwin Blanch52c47.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.471,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jack Pinnington Jones40c46.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Jack Pinnington Jones66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Jack Pinnington Jones73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.117957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Darwin Blanch42c39.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.522,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Darwin Blanch64c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3635187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Darwin Blanch58c37.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.892,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Darwin Blanch32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Jack Pinnington Jones70c31.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Darwin Blanch53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.974955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Jack Pinnington Jones62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Jack Pinnington Jones43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.124837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Darwin Blanch64c29.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1949943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Darwin Blanch56c26.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9251644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Jack Pinnington Jones61c24.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5620841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Jack Pinnington Jones76c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7611891.5%108 W · 10 L+17.4wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Darwin Blanch58c22.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Darwin Blanch54c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.853770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Jack Pinnington Jones80c18.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.823073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jack Pinnington Jones64c18.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.582,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a21…5151backed Darwin Blanch66c18.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Jack Pinnington Jones77c15.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6138074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.