TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No15c1,165$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.4248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes77c745.81$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.6576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No18c283.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4717249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes71c282.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15417652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…e256backed No29c116.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.01887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes69c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.496142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No40c97.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1235954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No35c85.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6421944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.911133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes76c78.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.975545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes68c70.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.448647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.17045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3715…9d3abacked No30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes74c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3610853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.