TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes57c1,022$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes75c600.26$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.042588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No41c269.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.811,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4906…7e10backed No27c127.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.961216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No43c84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1211038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No43c84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No26c83.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7724037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed No33c73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09224.5%1 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No32c70.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7548636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3b0…8501backed No43c65.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.044540%18 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c1…97eabacked No43c60.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.943141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No33c34.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.692,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.324045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.