MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf721ea501bf7144fd44af389502c556bfff83a2b3915f255c547d31108e63a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Athletics, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Athletics | 48c | 11,872$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Athletics | 0c | 7,550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 54c | 5,227$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Giants | 79c | 2,727$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.26 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 46c | 2,239$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 60c | 1,700$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.81 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 60c | 1,327$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.68 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 58c | 1,311$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Athletics | 40c | 1,250$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,221$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 75c | 1,003$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Giants | 57c | 1,002$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.07 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 73c | 998.01$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Giants | 58c | 858.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 44c | 844.47$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 49c | 830.61$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Athletics | 32c | 778.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Athletics | 45c | 747$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Athletics | 41c | 727$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Giants | 56c | 624.18$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…3b61backed Giants | 80c | 501.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 41c | 499.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Athletics | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Athletics | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants | 58c | 340.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 58c | 322.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 57c | 307.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 62c | 297.7$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Athletics | 31c | 206.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Giants | 59c | 195.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Athletics | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…fbe4backed Athletics | 38c | 178.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Giants | 59c | 177.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Athletics | 37c | 169.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 28c | 140.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 58c | 133.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…e4a5backed Giants | 57c | 127.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Athletics | 41c | 126.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Giants | 59c | 123$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Giants | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Giants | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Athletics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 60c | 87.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 59c | 73.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Athletics | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Giants | 67c | 61.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Athletics | 41c | 50.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Giants | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Giants | 70c | 46.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Giants | 62c | 42.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…9ed9backed Athletics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Giants | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Giants | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Giants | 62c | 33.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Athletics | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Giants | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Giants | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Giants | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 59c | 21.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.