MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78132f0fe5c522d689126cd0917d20657e03ed76640321948dbef52d12fd2c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Minnesota Twins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,132$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.74 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 2,896$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.63 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 929$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 757$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 699.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 647.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 603.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 509$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 502$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 475.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 437.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 387.58$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 347$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 275.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 273$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 259.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 258$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 233.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 218$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 214.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 189.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 158.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 138.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 136.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…f2c1backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 130.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 89.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 87.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 86.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 85.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 77.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 69.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 66.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 59.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 49.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 33.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 33.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 25.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…4756backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…e875backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…f6e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.