TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c66…e875

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$30.57
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.