MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283e154c34f300cf75cd128ef60ce30f977191bff3186cc370cad4bf04a0d1ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,761 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 9,894$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.24 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 6,547$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 5,348$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.34 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New York Yankees | 72c | 5,085$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.56 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 49c | 4,144$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.36 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,152$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.56 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 2,912$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,314$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,049$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.57 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,506$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,291$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.18 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 992.55$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.32 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 985.38$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 929.39$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 909.93$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees | 63c | 791.71$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 779.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.34 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 733.18$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.38 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 530.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 421$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.59 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed New York Yankees | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 336$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 249$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 245$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 208.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 194.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 193.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed New York Yankees | 54c | 184.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 170$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New York Yankees | 59c | 160.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 159$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Yankees | 52c | 144.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 139.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 68c | 135.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 122.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 117$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed New York Yankees | 48c | 103.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 76.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 76.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 75.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 57.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed New York Yankees | 55c | 56.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed New York Yankees | 58c | 52.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed New York Yankees | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…ab31backed New York Yankees | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees | 48c | 47.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 45.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 44.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 43.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed New York Yankees | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 39.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 34.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed New York Yankees | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 33.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked New York Yankees | 60c | 31.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 30.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed New York Yankees | 64c | 28.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 26.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed New York Yankees | 47c | 26.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…f6e4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…e875backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked New York Yankees | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed New York Yankees | 54c | 18.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.