Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Lloyd Harris vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf895b8fc1c497185551209e565ba42114d6cbe2504f6c01a592a642cdfd4ace9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lloyd Harrisof Lloyd Harris, Mackenzie McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Mackenzie McDonald | 6c | 3,860$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mackenzie McDonald | 24c | 1,658$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 1,428$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 5c | 1,064$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Lloyd Harris | 77c | 1,001$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lloyd Harris | 62c | 833.64$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.78 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lloyd Harris | 62c | 707.68$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.92 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 643.69$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Lloyd Harris | 62c | 599.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mackenzie McDonald | 6c | 583.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Mackenzie McDonald | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lloyd Harris | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 386.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mackenzie McDonald | 33c | 364.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Lloyd Harris | 63c | 342.23$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Lloyd Harris | 64c | 305.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Mackenzie McDonald | 20c | 263.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…7b19backed Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 254.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 9c | 233.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 49c | 231.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lloyd Harris | 73c | 202.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 36c | 194.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 34c | 190.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Mackenzie McDonald | 36c | 186.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Mackenzie McDonald | 42c | 183.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Mackenzie McDonald | 37c | 169.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Mackenzie McDonald | 12c | 165.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Lloyd Harris | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 8c | 160.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 158.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Lloyd Harris | 63c | 154.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lloyd Harris | 62c | 151$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…17a6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 21c | 123.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mackenzie McDonald | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Mackenzie McDonald | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Lloyd Harris | 60c | 97.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 278 | 67.3%187 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lloyd Harris | 66c | 96.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 22c | 95.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 44c | 94.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mackenzie McDonald | 14c | 72.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 17c | 69.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lloyd Harris | 63c | 68.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mackenzie McDonald | 37c | 62.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mackenzie McDonald | 30c | 61.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Lloyd Harris | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lloyd Harris | 59c | 48.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lloyd Harris | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Lloyd Harris | 63c | 45.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…ce64backed Mackenzie McDonald | 43c | 35.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Lloyd Harris | 63c | 31.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Lloyd Harris | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Lloyd Harris | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Lloyd Harris | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lloyd Harris | 60c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Lloyd Harris | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Lloyd Harris vs Mackenzie McDonaldthis page
- Set Handicap: Harris (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)Harris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.