Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Illinois State Redbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9cc584736b16a7d28fcc2d532dcbee2218bfe3b2d39a080bbd1ad7f70c8ccb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Illinois Salukisof Southern Illinois Salukis, Illinois State Redbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 39c | 1,156$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 28c | 1,084$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.75 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 21c | 1,071$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.43 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 79c | 1,018$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.17 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 2c | 942.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 30c | 926$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.57 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 77c | 686.13$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 23c | 552.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.61 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 79c | 535.42$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 75c | 426.64$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.23 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 79c | 413.81$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 60c | 394.56$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 21c | 380$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 21c | 255$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 170.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 21c | 140$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Illinois State Redbirds | 66c | 139.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 75c | 134.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Illinois State Redbirds | 42c | 114.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 26c | 111.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds | 12c | 100.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 94.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 42c | 91.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 49.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Illinois State Redbirds | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 62c | 32.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 58c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 74c | 22.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 54c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 17.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Illinois State Redbirds | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Illinois State Redbirds | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Illinois State Redbirdsthis page
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-8.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.