Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Keisuke Saitoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa65dffba4e998fee70290adde49f53b275ec70b7f0ac483b6a60b3b6d421645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tsung-Hao Huangof Tsung-Hao Huang, Keisuke Saitoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keisuke Saitoh | 29c | 11,489$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 73c | 10,026$7,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.87 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 68c | 919.2$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keisuke Saitoh | 32c | 640.84$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 58c | 292.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Keisuke Saitoh | 30c | 276.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 70c | 249.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 59c | 218.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Keisuke Saitoh | 24c | 191.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 40c | 182.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 68c | 126.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 122.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 34c | 116.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Keisuke Saitoh | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keisuke Saitoh | 59c | 113.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Keisuke Saitoh | 31c | 111.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Keisuke Saitoh | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Keisuke Saitoh | 11c | 96.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Keisuke Saitoh | 62c | 92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Keisuke Saitoh | 63c | 85.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Keisuke Saitoh | 32c | 77.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 40c | 73.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 38c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Keisuke Saitoh | 24c | 51.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Keisuke Saitoh | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Keisuke Saitoh | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Keisuke Saitoh | 65c | 34.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tsung-Hao Huang | 74c | 30.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Keisuke Saitoh | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 63c | 26.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 68c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Keisuke Saitoh | 60c | 20.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Tsung-Hao Huang | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.