Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Pavel Kotov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8ffb03fb7082741ff3d603ecb6dd603d1d2cb15195203347599059b91bb846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Raquilletof Leo Raquillet, Pavel Kotov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pavel Kotov | 27c | 5,887$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pavel Kotov | 4c | 5,233$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 4,583$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Leo Raquillet | 72c | 4,031$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.77 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pavel Kotov | 5c | 3,327$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pavel Kotov | 72c | 2,990$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.79 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Pavel Kotov | 8c | 2,737$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Leo Raquillet | 6c | 2,141$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.28 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Leo Raquillet | 28c | 1,543$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Pavel Kotov | 13c | 1,488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Leo Raquillet | 74c | 1,310$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.53 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Pavel Kotov | 12c | 1,271$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Leo Raquillet | 9c | 1,012$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leo Raquillet | 65c | 986.38$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Leo Raquillet | 22c | 787.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.24 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Pavel Kotov | 10c | 684.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed Pavel Kotov | 6c | 664.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 631.49$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.88 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Raquillet | 70c | 577$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked Pavel Kotov | 7c | 503.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Pavel Kotov | 8c | 464.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pavel Kotov | 7c | 429.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Leo Raquillet | 28c | 391.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Leo Raquillet | 16c | 372.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Leo Raquillet | 28c | 369.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.11 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Raquillet | 71c | 367.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…0242backed Pavel Kotov | 6c | 335.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Leo Raquillet | 32c | 295.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Leo Raquillet | 70c | 294.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Raquillet | 61c | 284$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…7132backed Pavel Kotov | 8c | 252.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Pavel Kotov | 33c | 201.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Pavel Kotov | 6c | 173.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…ec36backed Pavel Kotov | 7c | 150.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Pavel Kotov | 8c | 147.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pavel Kotov | 10c | 140.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Leo Raquillet | 31c | 139.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Leo Raquillet | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Leo Raquillet | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Leo Raquillet | 35c | 107.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Pavel Kotov | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Pavel Kotov | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Raquillet | 32c | 84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Leo Raquillet | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Pavel Kotov | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Leo Raquillet | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Leo Raquillet | 66c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Leo Raquillet | 59c | 43.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pavel Kotov | 44c | 41.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Pavel Kotov | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Pavel Kotov | 72c | 38.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Pavel Kotov | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…929fbacked Pavel Kotov | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Pavel Kotov | 48c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Leo Raquillet | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 20.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Pavel Kotov | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Pavel Kotov | 75c | 17.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.