Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb97a4cce98f5165156d4b8dbc5fb3ac55cb5381cd7a6336196d3b9d868bfd5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4095…5ecabacked Yes | 34c | 478.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 418.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 64c | 307.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 32c | 299.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 63c | 207.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 5c | 201.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542f…916abacked No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 195.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 43c | 190.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 44c | 169.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 26c | 153.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 15c | 151.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 36c | 139.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 25c | 123.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 30c | 121.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 43c | 116.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed No | 72c | 115.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 111.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 34c | 109.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 60c | 107.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4360backed Yes | 14c | 106.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 31c | 104.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 41c | 100.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…cfb3backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 99.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…564cbacked Yes | 42c | 86.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 58c | 84.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 83.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 47c | 81.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 23c | 80.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 79.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 43c | 77.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 68c | 76.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 76.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…f2dfbacked Yes | 40c | 72.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 38c | 69.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…87d9backed Yes | 36c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 42c | 66.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 38c | 66.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 63.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 49c | 61.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 57c | 60.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 60.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…13dabacked Yes | 39c | 59.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 63c | 58.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 28c | 54.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…4d38backed Yes | 42c | 52.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 32c | 51.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 42c | 50.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…f884backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 40c | 49.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 39c | 48.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…6646backed Yes | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 56c | 44.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 59c | 44.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…d084backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…0925backed Yes | 28c | 39.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked No | 58c | 38.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 72c | 38.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 36c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 165 | 20.6%34 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 71c | 35.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 70c | 33.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 79c | 27.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 67c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 63c | 26.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…24f9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…7319backed No | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4452…bc07backed No | 66c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked No | 63c | 19.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…0c4ebacked No | 62c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…cf0fbacked No | 62c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…8d60backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.