Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. New Haven Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbcfba67f1826ddcdf16cef63755f047e637f71e59457b5783d1547ad0cc8731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Haven Chargersof LIU Sharks, New Haven Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed LIU Sharks | 1c | 7,880$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Haven Chargers | 76c | 4,818$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.21 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 4,629$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.52 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed New Haven Chargers | 26c | 3,850$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.98 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Haven Chargers | 69c | 1,855$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed LIU Sharks | 11c | 1,800$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Haven Chargers | 73c | 1,505$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LIU Sharks | 48c | 1,323$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.14 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LIU Sharks | 31c | 1,277$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Haven Chargers | 27c | 1,118$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.23 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 795.04$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.09 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LIU Sharks | 28c | 792.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Haven Chargers | 67c | 744.51$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked LIU Sharks | 24c | 678.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Haven Chargers | 23c | 664.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New Haven Chargers | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed LIU Sharks | 35c | 389$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed LIU Sharks | 30c | 332.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked LIU Sharks | 77c | 302.41$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LIU Sharks | 27c | 293$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed LIU Sharks | 26c | 276.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Haven Chargers | 23c | 267.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked LIU Sharks | 75c | 267$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed New Haven Chargers | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed New Haven Chargers | 26c | 242.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Haven Chargers | 23c | 241$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed New Haven Chargers | 71c | 228.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked LIU Sharks | 25c | 202.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 201.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…3458backed New Haven Chargers | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Haven Chargers | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed LIU Sharks | 29c | 199$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked New Haven Chargers | 27c | 186.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed New Haven Chargers | 78c | 154.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 153$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked New Haven Chargers | 25c | 149.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed LIU Sharks | 39c | 142$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks | 74c | 127.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed New Haven Chargers | 26c | 111$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LIU Sharks | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Haven Chargers | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked LIU Sharks | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…f665backed LIU Sharks | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…55dfbacked LIU Sharks | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked New Haven Chargers | 76c | 96.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LIU Sharks | 27c | 92.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LIU Sharks | 26c | 83.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed LIU Sharks | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 64.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed New Haven Chargers | 26c | 62.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked LIU Sharks | 76c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked New Haven Chargers | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Haven Chargers | 47c | 54.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed New Haven Chargers | 27c | 52.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked LIU Sharks | 23c | 50.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed LIU Sharks | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Haven Chargers | 73c | 47.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked New Haven Chargers | 22c | 46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed LIU Sharks | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LIU Sharks | 28c | 45.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked New Haven Chargers | 33c | 44.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed New Haven Chargers | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked New Haven Chargers | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked LIU Sharks | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. New Haven Chargersthis page
- LIU Sharks vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 129.5Under won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-7.5)New Haven Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.