Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd31324087b80c6d41949caae979035cf25af07a035347a55519940ead7b6039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf6…0f8abacked Yes | 12c | 691.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…1f81backed Yes | 48c | 414.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 67c | 358.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 60c | 211.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 188.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 179.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 166.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 129.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 65c | 126.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 15c | 118.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…acbcbacked Yes | 24c | 116.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…5ddfbacked No | 73c | 114.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 111.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 62c | 107$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747d…73b7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 71c | 98.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 30c | 90.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 57c | 83.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed No | 65c | 80.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 50c | 80.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 34c | 79.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 71c | 78.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 75.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 33c | 71.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 30c | 66.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 58c | 60.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 33c | 59.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 36c | 58.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 66c | 57.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 35c | 56.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 50c | 52.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 50.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 47.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…c912backed Yes | 45c | 44.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 43.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 29c | 42.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 34c | 42.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…9b6abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 41.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 37c | 41.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…cdcfbacked Yes | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 38c | 39.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 38.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…3e2dbacked No | 65c | 37.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…dfbdbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 35c | 34.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…6acfbacked No | 75c | 30.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…2a5fbacked No | 66c | 27.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 41c | 27.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 65c | 25.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…f1b9backed No | 75c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 65c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…6e4fbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…9dc9backed No | 62c | 16.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 74c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.