NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe56f6db36218acf79b8c2444c101af34b6a0ea95edf93e32858abf1399ddeb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pacers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pelicans | 30c | 10,591$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414.7 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 72c | 9,228$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.25 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pelicans | 39c | 8,954$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.6 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 59c | 6,465$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.87 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 68c | 6,303$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.9 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Pacers | 55c | 2,940$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.03 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Pelicans | 79c | 2,298$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Pacers | 61c | 1,448$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,286$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pacers | 53c | 1,132$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Pelicans | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Pacers | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Pacers | 25c | 936.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Pacers | 40c | 718.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 36c | 584.8$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.27 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 581.25$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pacers | 46c | 568.69$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Pacers | 52c | 524.29$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…6159backed Pacers | 57c | 469.25$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pacers | 61c | 461.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.69 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Pelicans | 43c | 456.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Pelicans | 48c | 440.64$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Pelicans | 56c | 430.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Pacers | 52c | 335.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Pelicans | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Pacers | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…9a61backed Pelicans | 51c | 274.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Pelicans | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Pacers | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…05cebacked Pacers | 35c | 229.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Pacers | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…6e52backed Pacers | 22c | 179$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Pelicans | 57c | 176.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Pelicans | 51c | 168.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Pelicans | 39c | 161.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Pelicans | 37c | 151$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Pacers | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers | 62c | 149.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Pelicans | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Pelicans | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Pacers | 51c | 127.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Pelicans | 53c | 113.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Pelicans | 41c | 110.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Pelicans | 78c | 108.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Pacers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Pelicans | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…7e50backed Pacers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +703.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Pelicans | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Pacers | 64c | 94.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Pacers | 62c | 94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Pacers | 55c | 91.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Pacers | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pacers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…770cbacked Pelicans | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…011bbacked Pacers | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Pacers | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Pacers | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Pacers | 39c | 58.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pacers | 54c | 57.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…00c4backed Pelicans | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Pelicans | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pelicans | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Pelicans | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…ac2bbacked Pelicans | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 37cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Pelicans | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Pacers | 46c | 47.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Pelicans | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…90f4backed Pacers | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Pelicans | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Pelicans | 62c | 44.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ff3abacked Pelicans | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…e696backed Pacers | 63c | 38.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pelicans | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…1becbacked Pacers | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Pacers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Pelicans | 39c | 31.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Pacers | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Pacers | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Pacers | 48c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…eafebacked Pelicans | 50c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.