TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Florida Ospreys vs. Stetson Hatters

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stetson Hattersof North Florida Ospreys, Stetson Hatters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Stetson Hatters56c52,882$29,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,074.9789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Florida Ospreys45c21,227$9,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,646.095,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked North Florida Ospreys43c16,853$7,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.7930249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Florida Ospreys43c3,731$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.971,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Florida Ospreys44c3,574$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.993,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Florida Ospreys44c3,099$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed North Florida Ospreys23c2,211$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Florida Ospreys43c2,024$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.242,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stetson Hatters26c1,848$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.991,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Florida Ospreys61c1,667$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Florida Ospreys43c1,147$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed North Florida Ospreys59c819.04$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.3793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked North Florida Ospreys16c800$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Florida Ospreys30c798.33$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.51,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed North Florida Ospreys48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.610451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed North Florida Ospreys73c698.95$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed North Florida Ospreys45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed North Florida Ospreys44c548.04$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Stetson Hatters18c486.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5923149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Stetson Hatters55c480$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21626254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stetson Hatters55c469$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.051,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked North Florida Ospreys46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Stetson Hatters49c419.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Florida Ospreys54c380.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.871,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Florida Ospreys69c349$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.262,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked North Florida Ospreys66c348.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.314451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed North Florida Ospreys45c330.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Florida Ospreys48c313.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stetson Hatters18c291$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.623,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed North Florida Ospreys44c276$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4422043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stetson Hatters55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Stetson Hatters56c268.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.118757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed North Florida Ospreys44c214.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5717627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked North Florida Ospreys17c205$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed North Florida Ospreys45c204.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Florida Ospreys45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed North Florida Ospreys45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stetson Hatters58c185.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked North Florida Ospreys68c179$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7215356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Stetson Hatters19c178.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.952157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Florida Ospreys27c160$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.41,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked North Florida Ospreys70c156.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stetson Hatters31c152.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.624,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked North Florida Ospreys48c146.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.164447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Florida Ospreys44c137.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.741,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3543…bf81backed North Florida Ospreys59c135$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked North Florida Ospreys79c120$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stetson Hatters24c119.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.971,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed North Florida Ospreys45c109.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.455427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed North Florida Ospreys44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed North Florida Ospreys43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4385248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked North Florida Ospreys43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4393941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Florida Ospreys56c95.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.471,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stetson Hatters56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.284,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed North Florida Ospreys40c78.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.571,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed North Florida Ospreys44c73.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked North Florida Ospreys28c70.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Stetson Hatters65c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.740252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked North Florida Ospreys44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed North Florida Ospreys45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked Stetson Hatters32c69.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.262560%15 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Stetson Hatters56c67.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8521937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Florida Ospreys77c66.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.892,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Stetson Hatters55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stetson Hatters75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Florida Ospreys44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed North Florida Ospreys56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed North Florida Ospreys45c43.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6360954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaaa…a300backed Stetson Hatters78c38.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Stetson Hatters58c28.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Stetson Hatters58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.927656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Florida Ospreys53c24.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.081,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed North Florida Ospreys45c23.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6916140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6713…5de1backed Stetson Hatters58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Stetson Hatters57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed North Florida Ospreys73c19.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.557176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.