TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Barcelona" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa58d…b9b8backed No44c790$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.737045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11217652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes37c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579043.3%39 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No64c97.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed No52c95.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.516847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56716.4%11 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb63f…793cbacked No49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No59c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.75549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.444045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No52c20.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.748636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb66c…5c84backed Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3c…de59backed No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf4…ba60backed No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf997…feb9backed Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea5f…2e6abacked No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.648140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.