Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff98ff7b9e6d861c7226d779286d7b0ca807826bad0602afa9ca2b04f31d2a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf352…a070backed Yes | 74c | 496.16$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 53c | 379.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 47c | 239.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 47c | 216.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 204.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 50c | 195.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 17c | 186.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…d770backed Yes | 53c | 155.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 40c | 151.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 129.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 127.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked No | 51c | 118.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 114.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 40c | 112.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 13c | 97.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 69c | 93.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 53c | 93.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…f04cbacked Yes | 51c | 92.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 174 | 40.8%71 W · 103 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…e9f4backed Yes | 54c | 88.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +10.4wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 57c | 81.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 75.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 37c | 72.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 48c | 68.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 39c | 66.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 53c | 61.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 48c | 56.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 54.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 54c | 54.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 36c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 47c | 49.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 73c | 49.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 48.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 66c | 46.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed No | 60c | 44.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 36c | 44.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 47c | 41.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 51c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 54c | 36.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…8334backed Yes | 54c | 36.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 54c | 36.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…508fbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…76c2backed No | 69c | 34.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 61c | 34.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 57c | 33.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 45c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 63c | 31.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 74c | 30.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed No | 58c | 29.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 44c | 27.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked No | 47c | 26.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…0b31backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 56c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…3d80backed No | 39c | 25.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 189 | 31.7%60 W · 129 L | -40.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 49c | 25.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…b2a7backed Yes | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…6083backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 60c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…a323backed No | 64c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…31c4backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…60eebacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…e5c6backed Yes | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 73c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.